Marine’s Bane

The rumour is that if Marine Le Pen wins the French elections coming up this May, the EU will self-destruct. As it already bears a mild resemblance to the “death ships” which carried nothing but scurrying, diseased rodents from Far-Eastern ports into European ones, many people would be privately pleased if the EU did, in fact, erupt into an enormous ball of annihilating flame. Instead, a massive computer blunder and a series of requests for legal interference may allow the ships safe passage. It won’t work out a whole lot better for anyone this time, and the last time death ships made port, the Black Plague nearly wiped out Western civilisation.

The results this time could be just as devastating.

A large computer error  wound up giving French extra-nationals the ability to vote twice. Giving people the ability to vote twice while not giving everyone the ability to vote twice has rather an obvious problem in terms of how much pull specific bits of the population are able to exert.

The thought is that people who don’t live or work in France will be sure not to vote for Le Pen, who is a proponent of destroying the EU and eliminating the open-border policies that the Union enforces on its member states. While there’s no particular way to predict how people will vote (as that would make voting a bit superfluous) there is a certain amount of logic that you can easily attribute to that line of thought.

An extra five hundred thousand votes against Le Pen in what is predicted to be an extremely tight race between Le Pen and her primary opponent Emmanuel Macron is a very stiff advantage. While pollsters are not always accurate (take, for example, nearly every single poll in America which had Clinton easily winning the 2016 Presidential Election) given everything we know right now, this computer “error” could easily swing the race.

That is, of course, flatly un-democratic. More on that in a bit.

Marine Le Pen has also been accused of misusing campaign money, Tweeting uncensored images of Muslim violence against French citizens (a grievous crime, apparently) and being generally rude to Angela Merkel. Okay, that last one isn’t real. It happened though, and gloriously

Using legal loopholes to try to disrupt the electoral process is, of course, not a function of totalitarian states… if only because totalitarian states don’t really need legal loopholes. Nor do they have electoral processes. If, for a hypothetical example, though, a state were slowly sliding toward totalitarianism, it’s entirely possible that the courts might be used as a weapon to try to disrupt the electoral process.

After all, electing a president of a country is fairly important. It’s good manners to wait until after the process concludes so as not to influence the minds of voters in an unfair way, isn’t it? Summoning Ms. Le Pen to court over alleged violations of EU law is almost a blatant attempt at arbitrarily removing her from consideration during the vital second round of the two-part French presidential race.

The death ships have arrived, and they showed up in France.

Again, the pollsters were not particularly optimistic for Le Pen to win the election—actually, they were extremely optimistic because they don’t think she’ll win the election—but at least that would have been the democratic outcome. Now that we know how much the EU and apparently the French government are willing to do to derail Marine Le Pen’s campaign right there in the open, we have to wonder about how much we haven’t seen.

Where’s the democracy? It’s tough to figure that out. A lot of people will point to the fact that democracy has never been a real thing. They’re not wrong. It’s rare in history that people have voted freely and fairly. It’s sort of like asking people to think clearly. There’s a lot of stuff in the way, and it’s rarely possible for people to detach and think critically.

Democracy has also never been a real thing in terms of who could vote, how much pull their vote had, and how people were influenced by other people’s votes. However, none of those are malicious. And very few times has democracy attempted to retain a facade of legitimacy as another power (the EU) attempts to directly, openly, and brutally interfere in a national election like the EU Congress is considering.

So what happens if it works?

The thing about France is that it’s already on fire. The EU is already sinking. The sides are already polarised, and strife is inevitable.

I don’t foresee the French election as changing much specifically inside France, no matter how it goes. That would have been more of geopolitical occurrence: the EU would begin to fragment as its second-most effective economy abruptly vanished, in all likelihood.

Within, we’re just going to see what we’re seeing in the United States. When the left is finally removed from power, they rarely take it very well. Violence is coming to France, and the threat of civil wars breaking out in most of the West is not something which can be dismissed as fantastical anymore.

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